The Degenerate Digest v.122

I can’t get over the state of college football right now. It’s utter chaos. It’s as if NIL and the playoff format have caused the magnetic poles to shift and no one knows what direction we’re headed anymore. On what planet do 2 of the top 4 teams lose in 1 weekend, and I still go positive with Vegas (4-3 btw, not a big deal). Utter chaos. It doesn’t make sense. The poles have shifted. 

In severe times of uncertainty, I like to look inward. How can I adjust accordingly, how can I stay ahead of the unknown curve. What can I change about my ways that may be beneficial?

Overs. As most of you Degenerates know, one of my favorite shticks is betting unders. Thick sack alerts. I don’t think I’ve had many this season, but maybe… just maybe… there’s a reason for that. The poles have shifted. It doesn’t make sense. Utter chaos. 

Let’s go full blown scientific method on this shit and see if it sticks.

7 Steps of the Scientific Method (Steps 1 thru 4)

Step 1: Make an Observation (Theory Construction)

I haven’t been betting thick sack unders this season. 

Step 2: Ask a Question

Does chaos equal points?

Step 3: Form a Hypothesis (Make Predictions)

Chaos equals points.

Step 4: Run an Experiment (Gather Data)

Week 7!

(10) Clemson @ Wake Forest: Clemson Team Total O41.5

Since that opening loss to Georgia this season, Clemson has been rolling. Their offense has scored an average of 48.5 points in the last 4 games. On the other sideline, while they have yet to allow more than 41 points this season, the Demon Deacons defense has seen teams like NC State (30 points) and Louisiana (41 points) get close to this number. If those teams can successfully run an offense here, so can Clemson who got their flub out of the way early and are looking to inch their way back into the Top 5. 

Final Score: Clemson 45, Wake Forest 17

(1)Texas @ (18) Oklahoma: Over 48.5, Oklahoma +14.5

Everything about this game screams defense. Oklahoma can’t score, at least against competent defenses, and Texas is as competent as they come. Texas has really only faced one true defense this season, and has Georgia next week. Look ahead city. With that said, this game has only gone under this total 5 times since the millennium. They don’t call it the Red River Shootout for nothing, folks. Well actually, they don’t call it that anymore - but I do! 

Final Score: Texas 28, Oklahoma 24

(4) Penn State @ USC: Over 50.5, USC +3.5

This is 100% a spot for Penn State to come crashing back down to earth. The Nittany Lions aren’t allowed in the top 4. They’re just not. They’re allowed in the playoff now, but not in the Top 4. If USC wants to win this game outright though, they’re going to need to score. They were able to put up 24 on Michigan, so it’s certainly possible. This number is scary, but it’s spooky season, and also for science. 

Final Score: USC 27, Penn State 24

(2) Ohio State @ (3) Oregon: Over 54.5, Ohio State -2.5

Very similar to Penn State, this is 100% a spot for Oregon to come crashing back down to earth. Who has Oregon played/beaten? Boise State, by 3? Ohio State just put up 35 against a team defense ranked just 6 spots below Oregon, and that’s with a couple losses. I’m not saying Oregon won’t show up, they haven’t scored less than 24 this season. But to think you shouldn’t feel comfortable knowing what we know to blindly take the Buckeyes here is just silly.

Final Score: Ohio State 32, Oregon 24

(18) Kansas State @ Colorado: Over 55.5

Scientific method. It’s for science. 

Final Score: Colorado 31, Kansas State 27

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Running Record: (258-238-7)