The Degenerate Digest v.147

Welp. Whodathunk it. I Tommy Boy’d my 60%. 

Really got nothing else to say about it, hand up, I’m colder than the Sahara in a couple hundred years after the magnetic poles shift. Didn’t hear about that? Don’t worry about it. 

I was debating whether or not to just rip the coin flip week and get it over with. But, I guess since you fucks are only here at this point to 1. Watch me suffer or 2. Fade my picks, I should probably wait one more Saturday before indulging fate. 

I’m not sure I’ve strayed from a lot of data this season. What can I say, the data speaks to me. But it can also lie to me. I’ll have to go back and check, but I’m not so confident games where I call out reverse line movement are even positive on the year. Last week for example, one of my only wins was on a gut check with Texas A&M. There was reverse line movement all over that game, but I went with my gut. Sometimes, it’s best to just trust your gut. So this week, no bullshit line opens, public money or bet percentages. No breakdowns on how expected value is going to leave me saying ‘it was the right side’ while looking at a losing ticket. Just natural, read the board, take a pick, walk away. 

Let’s see if my spare tire has what it takes to get us out of this mess before you know what. Week 12. 

West Virginia @ Arizona State: West Virginia +11.5

It does seem like the Mountaineers are in better form of late, and Jeff Sims didn’t really shine in his debut last week following Sam Leavitt’s season ending injury. Trust your gut.

Final Score: West Virginia 27, Arizona State 24

North Texas @ UAB: North Texas -Whatever

I think this line is -17.5 at time of publishing, but I say whatever in the header because that’s what my gut said when I saw this matchup. 

Final Score: North Texas 48, UAB 21

(11) Oklahoma @ (4) Alabama: Oklahoma +6.5

The biggest ‘makes my gut queasy’ pick of the week. But the gut said it regardless. It’s like when I’m in a rush for a quick bite and I also need gas so I opt to kill two birds with one stone and grab those taquito rollers at the Turkey Hill I know will make me feel like shit the minute they hit my small intestine but I do it anyway because my gut is not my brain. If LaNorris Sellers can maneuver against this Tide defense, so can John Mateer. 

Final Score: Alabama 32, Oklahoma 27

(21) Iowa @ (17) USC: Iowa +6.5

USC’s defense is not Oregon's defense.

Final Score: Iowa 27, USC 24

Florida @ (7) Ole Miss: Ole Miss -11.5

If Lane Kiffin is even remotely interested in the Florida job, but also wants the Rebel crowd to think he’s not even remotely interested in the Florida job, he is going to lay the lumber on the Gators. 

Final Score: Ole Miss 34, Florida 21

(10) Texas @ (5) Georgia: Texas +6.5

I don’t know why, but I have this weird feeling in my gut that this will be Archie Manning’s true breakout game. That weird feeling could also be the spicy butter chicken and naan I had for dinner currently obliterating my colon. It’s a toss up.

Final Score: Texas 28, Georgia 27

Mississippi State @ Missouri: Mississippi State +7.5

My gut said to take a bulldog today and since it also said hook’em, then this must be the bulldog it was talking about.

Final Score: Mississippi State 32, Missouri 24

Trust your gut. 

Running Record: (353-297-7)