The Degenerate Digest v.138

Can you just listen to me? Bookmakers, are all just panty droppers, you understand? That’s it. Listen, you give em my picks, couple of my alt line parlays, maybe some of the reverse line movement I spotted, and the panties drop. Very nice! It’s nice. 

Another perfect card last week, bringing the season total to 17-2. The heat is real, not only with my picks, but in the response. The Degenerate Army is growing. You all know how sick this is? I don’t promote this one bit on social, no video/audio podcast or YouTube, this has been growing purely by word of mouth. Oh, and our country's massive gambling addiction, but we can stop at any time. And here you are. Probably some no good low life just looking for a way to pay for your next DoorDash. That’s not a dig, that’s just reality. Welcome one, welcome all. The Digest, is for the People. 

This also means the heat is real in the sense that with great power, comes great responsibility. Let’s celebrate the wins, but realize that this shit is week to week, game by game. Focused. Locked in. All that jargon. Week Three. 

Wisconsin @ (19) Alabama: Alabama -20.5

If I recall correctly, Wisconsin’s win total to start the season was at 6.5. They are 2-0. Alabama beat the doors off LA Monroe last week, 73-0, after a frustrating start to the season. The momentum here is lining up to be a tough, tough day for Luke Fickell and the Badgers. Am I just refusing to accept the state of Alabama football? No. I see where things stand. But my dog, Whiskey, is a big Roll Tide guy and he broke a nail clean off last night. Little man is all bandaged up and will be on the couch with me watching all the games today. Gotta root for the guy. 

Final Score: Alabama 42, Wisconsin 21

(6) Georgia @ (15) Tennessee: Over 49.5 

Any other day I would look at a game like this and immediately consider the Thick Sack Under. But today is not one of those days. Tennessee’s offense is rocking 58.5 ppg to start the season, Georgia sitting at 36.5. Are these teams going to rip 95 total points today? Absolutely not. Neither have seen a true defense yet (no offense, Syracuse). But I do think that this is one of those situations where the Vols defense, who is allowing 21.5 ppg to Cuse and Eastern Tennessee State, begins to fold. Josh Heupel will have no choice but to get aggressive. This won’t be an easy one, but I like it to hit late. 

Final Score: Georgia 28, Tennessee 23

(14) Iowa State @ Arkansas State: Iowa State -21.5

Final Score: Iowa State 38, Arkansas State 10

(18) USF @ (5) Miami: Over 56.5

Who am I? Taking back to back straight up overs? Just calling it like I see it. This one has the recipe of USF’s defense getting annihilated. Sorry, Bulls. I’m not calling bullshit on you guys being a great team, but I just don’t think the defense can keep going at the rate it is. If Mario Cristobal watched the first quarter of the Boise State game, he’ll know how to gameplan his offense for success. If I can give flowers to someone in the Bulls locker room, it’s Byrum Brown. Dude is a baller… a shot caller, if you will. I expect him to have some success today, while it might be more limited. Either way - the reverse line movement is truly all we need to look at here for this pick. 

Open: 53.5

Bets: 87% Under

Money: 82% Under

Line moved up 3 points. This is Baylor/SMU all over again. 

Final Score: Miami 37, USF 21

Florida @ (3) LSU: Alt Line Parlay, LSU ML - Under 56.5

Billy Napier is good as gone. Has anyone looked at Florida’s schedule yet moving forward? It’s fuckin wild. Tonight in Death Valley, Miami next week, Texas the following, A&M the week after that. Oh and they will still have Georgia, Kentucky, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and FSU. The only team I didn’t mention is Mississippi State. Just brutal. With a schedule like that, losing to an unranked non-conference opponent is suicide. It’s over. They may keep this game close just with a CPR-esc mentality that it’s a must-win. But they’re not going to win. Garrett Nussmeier is on Heisman watch. 

Final Score: LSU 28, Florida 23

(16) Texas A&M @ (8) Notre Dame: Alt Line Parlay, Texas A&M +14.5 - Over 41.5

Back to back alt line parlay’s?

There’s actually reverse line movement all over this game. But it’s subtle enough that I’m more comfortable buying the points for a combo with the odds staying in the (-120) range.

Spread

Open: +7

Bets: 53% ND

Money: 61% ND

Line moved down to +6.5

Total

Open: 49.5

Bets: 75% Under

Money: 73% Under

Line moved up 1 point

Are we sure the Irish are good?

Final Score: Notre Dame 27, Texas A&M 24

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Running Record: (327-267-7)